Athletic Club 2-1 Real Sociedad: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Athletic Club won it

Iñaki Williams put Athletic Club ahead in the 14th minute, set up by Nico Williams. Real Sociedad levelled at 1-1 in the 30th minute through Luka Sucic. Álex Berenguer from the penalty spot made it 2-1 to Athletic Club in the 45th minute (+2).

It was 2-1 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.

The referee, A. Hernández Hernández, showed 7 yellow cards: 2 to Athletic Club and 5 to Real Sociedad.

Athletic Club: E. Terzic, 4-4-2 · Real Sociedad: P. Matarazzo, 4-4-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Athletic Bilbao -0.25, and on 2-1 it was right.

The estimate's most likely result was an Athletic Club win at 46%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.0 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 58%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 61%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had an Athletic Club win at 42%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-01, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.57 for Athletic Club and 3.00 for Real Sociedad.

Real Sociedad left about 2.0 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Real Sociedad created the better chances, 3.00 xG to 1.57, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Athletic Club to create more, and Real Sociedad did.

Athletic Club had 3 shots on target, Real Sociedad 5.

Real Sociedad had 62% of the ball, but Athletic Club took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Athletic Club came into it with 11 La Liga matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.72 expected goals for and 1.23 against, and had won 36% of their matches.

Real Sociedad came into it with 12 La Liga matches played, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 1.35 expected goals for and 1.73 against, and had won 58% of their matches.

Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Carlos Soler (Real Sociedad), rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.

Athletic Club

• Nico Williams 7.4 1 assist
• Unai Simón 7.2
• Hugo Rincón 7.2
• Dani Vivian 7.1
• Beñat Gerenabarrena 7.0

Real Sociedad

• Carlos Soler 7.7
• Luka Sucic 7.5 1 goal
• Mamadou Sarr 7.3
• Jon Gorrotxategi 7.0
• Jon Martín Vicente 7.0

The lowest-rated starter was Álex Berenguer at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Athletic Club: Athletic Club vs Espanyol Friday 20 November 2026 · La Liga
• Real Sociedad: Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad Sunday 22 November 2026 · La Liga

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad

What was the score in Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad?

Athletic Club 2-1 Real Sociedad (half-time 2-1), La Liga, Sunday 1 November 2026.

Who scored in Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad?

Iñaki Williams 14', Luka Sucic 30', Álex Berenguer 45+2'.

Did Moneyball predict Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad correctly?

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Athletic Bilbao -0.25, and on 2-1 it was right.

Who was man of the match in Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad?

Carlos Soler, rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad?

A. Hernández Hernández.