Monaco 1-1 LOSC Lille: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How the match unfolded

The opening goal came in the 24th minute: Ethan Mbappé for LOSC Lille, set up by Soriba Diaoune. Monaco levelled at 1-1 in the 74th minute through Edan Diop, set up by Jordan Teze.

It was 0-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

Tanguy Nianzou of LOSC Lille was sent off in the 66th minute. The referee, F. Letexier, showed 7 yellow cards: 3 to Monaco and 4 to LOSC Lille.

Monaco: F. Kasmirski, 4-2-3-1 · LOSC Lille: Davide Ancelotti, 4-3-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was AS Monaco -0.25. On 1-1 it was half wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Monaco win at 45%; a draw, at 27%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (13%), exactly the final score.

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.6 expected, 2 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 48%; with 2 goals the under came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 53%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Monaco win at 45%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-25, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.45 for Monaco and 2.45 for LOSC Lille.

LOSC Lille left about 1.4 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

LOSC Lille created the better chances, 2.45 xG to 0.45, and still did not win. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Monaco to create more, and LOSC Lille did.

Monaco had 6 shots on target, LOSC Lille 2.

LOSC Lille's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Monaco had 64% of the ball.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Monaco came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.25 expected goals for and 1.47 against, and had won 40% of their matches.

LOSC Lille came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.7 a match, with 1.18 expected goals for and 1.43 against, and had won 60% of their matches.

Monaco vs LOSC Lille: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Aleksandr Golovin (Monaco), rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.

Monaco

• Aleksandr Golovin 8.0
• Vanderson 7.7
• Jordan Teze 7.3 1 assist
• Nazinho 7.2
• Matthis Abline 7.1

LOSC Lille

• Ethan Mbappé 7.3 1 goal
• Soriba Diaoune 7.1 1 assist
• Nathan Ngoy 7.0
• Berke Özer 6.9
• Romain Perraud 6.8

The lowest-rated starter was Tanguy Nianzou at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Monaco: Monaco vs Auxerre Saturday 21 November 2026 · Ligue 1
• LOSC Lille: LOSC Lille vs Olympique Lyonnais Saturday 21 November 2026 · Ligue 1

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Monaco vs LOSC Lille

What was the score in Monaco vs LOSC Lille?

Monaco 1-1 LOSC Lille (half-time 0-1), Ligue 1, Sunday 25 October 2026.

Who scored in Monaco vs LOSC Lille?

Ethan Mbappé 24', Edan Diop 74'.

Did Moneyball predict Monaco vs LOSC Lille correctly?

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was AS Monaco -0.25. On 1-1 it was half wrong.

Who was man of the match in Monaco vs LOSC Lille?

Aleksandr Golovin, rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Monaco vs LOSC Lille?

F. Letexier.