Amed SK 5-1 Eyüpspor: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Süper Lig Matchday 10 · Sunday 1 November 2026 · Diyarbakır Atatürk Stadyumu, Diyarbakır · referee A. Şen · full time
Full time: Amed SK 5-1 Eyüpspor
Amed SK won 5-1 at home to Eyüpspor in Süper Lig Matchday 10 on Sunday 1 November 2026. The goals: Ermal Krasniqi 13', Gift Orban 35', Samuel Ballet 42', Samuel Ballet 51', Ahmed Abdullahi 73', Samuel Ballet 83'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How Amed SK won it
The opening goal came in the 13th minute: Ermal Krasniqi for Amed SK, set up by Rayan Lutin. Gift Orban made it 2-0 to Amed SK in the 35th minute, set up by Rayan Lutin. Samuel Ballet made it 3-0 to Amed SK in the 42nd minute, set up by Gift Orban. Samuel Ballet made it 4-0 to Amed SK in the 51st minute, set up by Rayan Raveloson. Ahmed Abdullahi made it 4-1 to Eyüpspor in the 73rd minute, set up by Abdelhamid Sabiri. Samuel Ballet from the penalty spot made it 5-1 to Amed SK in the 83rd minute.
It was 3-0 at half-time.
Samuel Ballet scored a hat-trick.
Samuel Ballet of Amed SK was sent off in the 90th minute (+1). The referee, A. Şen, showed 1 yellow card: 0 to Amed SK and 1 to Eyüpspor.
Amed SK: B. Hasi, 4-2-3-1 · Eyüpspor: M. Dalcı, 4-1-4-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 3.00, and on 5-1 it was wrong.
The estimate's most likely result was an Amed SK win at 77%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-0 (12%).
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.4 goals and there were 6.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 65%; with 6 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 49%; both did, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-01, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.70 for Amed SK and 3.91 for Eyüpspor.
Amed SK scored about 4.3 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.
Eyüpspor left about 2.9 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
Eyüpspor created the better chances, 3.91 xG to 0.70, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Amed SK to create more, and Eyüpspor did.
Amed SK had 7 shots on target, Eyüpspor 2.
Amed SK had 55% of the ball and turned it into the win.
A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Amed SK came into it with 11 Süper Lig matches played, scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.89 expected goals for and 0.91 against, and had won 64% of their matches.
Eyüpspor came into it with 11 Süper Lig matches played, scoring 0.3 and conceding 2.7 a match, with 0.74 expected goals for and 1.86 against, and had won 9% of their matches.
Amed SK vs Eyüpspor: the match in numbers
| Amed SK | Match statistics | Eyüpspor |
|---|---|---|
| 55% | Ball possession | 45% |
| 0.70 | Expected goals (xG) | 3.91 |
| 20 | Total shots | 8 |
| 7 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 6 | Big chances | 1 |
| 469 | Total passes | 387 |
| 87% | Pass accuracy | 83% |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 5 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 15 | Tackles | 9 |
| 1 | Saves | 2 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Samuel Ballet (Amed SK), rated 8.8 by Sportmonks, with 3 goals.
Amed SK
- Samuel Ballet 8.8 3 goals
- Gift Orban 8.5 1 goal, 1 assist
- Ermal Krasniqi 7.9 1 goal
- Rayan Lutin 7.6 2 assists
- Dia Saba 7.3
Eyüpspor
- Ahmed Abdullahi 7.5 1 goal
- Abdelhamid Sabiri 7.2 1 assist
- Konrad Michalak 6.5
- Arda Yavuz 6.5
- Talha Ülvan 6.5
The lowest-rated starter was Jawad El Yamiq at 5.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Amed SK: Amed SK vs Rizespor Saturday 21 November 2026 · Süper Lig
- Eyüpspor: Trabzonspor vs Eyüpspor Sunday 22 November 2026 · Süper Lig
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Amed SK vs Eyüpspor
What was the score in Amed SK vs Eyüpspor?
Amed SK 5-1 Eyüpspor (half-time 3-0), Süper Lig, Sunday 1 November 2026.
Who scored in Amed SK vs Eyüpspor?
Ermal Krasniqi 13', Gift Orban 35', Samuel Ballet 42', Samuel Ballet 51', Ahmed Abdullahi 73', Samuel Ballet 83'.
Did Moneyball predict Amed SK vs Eyüpspor correctly?
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 3.00, and on 5-1 it was wrong.
Who was man of the match in Amed SK vs Eyüpspor?
Samuel Ballet, rated 8.8 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Amed SK vs Eyüpspor?
A. Şen.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.