Aldosivi 1-0 Belgrano: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Liga Profesional Argentina Matchday 14 · Sunday 25 October 2026 · Estadio José María Minella, Mar del Plata · referee S. Zunino · full time
Full time: Aldosivi 1-0 Belgrano
Aldosivi 1-0 Belgrano: Aldosivi took the points in Liga Profesional Argentina Matchday 14 on Sunday 25 October 2026 at Estadio José María Minella. The goals: Andrés Vombergar 20'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How Aldosivi won it
The opening goal came in the 20th minute: Andrés Vombergar for Aldosivi, set up by Nicolás Cordero.
It was 1-0 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.
The referee, S. Zunino, showed 1 yellow card: 1 to Aldosivi and 0 to Belgrano.
Aldosivi: J. Sanguinetti, 4-4-2 · Belgrano: R. Zielinski, 4-4-2.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A miss for the model: 48% for a Belgrano win, 23% for an Aldosivi win, and football chose the second. At 23%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 4.
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 2.3 and the match produced one.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 40%; with 1 goal the under came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 45%; they did not both score, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-25, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.02 for Aldosivi and 1.31 for Belgrano.
Belgrano left about 1.3 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
Aldosivi had 5 shots on target, Belgrano 5.
Aldosivi's goalkeeper made 5 saves.
Belgrano had 64% of the ball, but Aldosivi took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Aldosivi came into it with 32 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 0.93 expected goals for and 1.83 against, and had won 9% of their matches.
Belgrano came into it with 36 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 0.9 a match, with 1.22 expected goals for and 1.32 against, and had won 44% of their matches.
Aldosivi vs Belgrano: the match in numbers
| Aldosivi | Match statistics | Belgrano |
|---|---|---|
| 36% | Ball possession | 64% |
| 1.02 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.31 |
| 15 | Total shots | 15 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 3 | Big chances | 3 |
| 266 | Total passes | 489 |
| 65% | Pass accuracy | 77% |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 18 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 21 | Tackles | 15 |
| 5 | Saves | 4 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Franco Vázquez (Belgrano), rated 8.1 by Sportmonks.
Aldosivi
- Lucas Acosta 7.7
- Agustín Palavecino 7.6
- Nicolás Cordero 7.4 1 assist
- Néstor Breitenbruch 7.3
- Santiago Moya 7.1
Belgrano
- Franco Vázquez 8.1
- Thiago Cardozo 7.5
- Lucas Zelarayán 7.4
- Lisandro López 7.2
- Adrián Sánchez 7.1
The lowest-rated starter was Adrián Spörle at 6.4. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Belgrano: Vélez Sarsfield vs Belgrano Friday 20 November 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Aldosivi vs Belgrano
What was the score in Aldosivi vs Belgrano?
Aldosivi 1-0 Belgrano (half-time 1-0), Liga Profesional Argentina, Sunday 25 October 2026.
Who scored in Aldosivi vs Belgrano?
Andrés Vombergar 20'.
Did Moneyball predict Aldosivi vs Belgrano correctly?
A miss for the model: 48% for a Belgrano win, 23% for an Aldosivi win, and football chose the second. At 23%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 4.
Who was man of the match in Aldosivi vs Belgrano?
Franco Vázquez, rated 8.1 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Aldosivi vs Belgrano?
S. Zunino.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.