Al Riyadh 0-6 Al-Qadsiah: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Saudi Pro League Matchday 12 · Thursday 29 October 2026 · Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Riyadh · referee F. Alblwi · full time
Full time: Al Riyadh 0-6 Al-Qadsiah
Al-Qadsiah won 6-0 away at Al Riyadh in Saudi Pro League Matchday 12 on Thursday 29 October 2026. The goals: Tijjani Reijnders 18', Abdullah Al-Salem 37', Tijjani Reijnders 56', Mahamadou Sangaré 67', Julián Quiñones 87', Tijjani Reijnders 89'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Al-Qadsiah won it
The opening goal came in the 18th minute: Tijjani Reijnders for Al-Qadsiah. Abdullah Al-Salem made it 0-2 to Al-Qadsiah in the 37th minute, set up by Julián Quiñones. Tijjani Reijnders made it 0-3 to Al-Qadsiah in the 56th minute, set up by Julián Quiñones. Mahamadou Sangaré made it 0-4 to Al-Qadsiah in the 67th minute, set up by Tijjani Reijnders. Julián Quiñones made it 0-5 to Al-Qadsiah in the 87th minute, set up by Musab Al-Juwayr. Tijjani Reijnders made it 0-6 to Al-Qadsiah in the 89th minute, set up by Musab Al-Juwayr.
It was 0-2 at half-time.
Tijjani Reijnders scored a hat-trick.
The referee, F. Alblwi, showed 4 yellow cards: 2 to Al Riyadh and 2 to Al-Qadsiah.
Al Riyadh: M. Dulac, 3-4-1-2 · Al-Qadsiah: B. Rodgers, 3-5-2.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made an Al-Qadsiah win the most likely outcome at 61%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 1-2 rather than 0-6.
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.2 goals and there were 6.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 62%; with 6 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 58%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-29, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 4.28 for Al Riyadh and 1.62 for Al-Qadsiah.
Al Riyadh scored about 4.3 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.
Al-Qadsiah made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 4.4 goals.
Al Riyadh created the better chances, 4.28 xG to 1.62, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Al-Qadsiah to create more, and Al Riyadh did.
Al Riyadh had 4 shots on target, Al-Qadsiah 14.
Al Riyadh's goalkeeper made 10 saves.
Al-Qadsiah had 55% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Al Riyadh came into it with 11 Saudi Pro League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 1.01 expected goals for and 1.86 against, and had won 27% of their matches.
Al-Qadsiah came into it with 12 Saudi Pro League matches played, scoring 2.7 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 2.35 expected goals for and 1.27 against, and had won 75% of their matches.
Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadsiah: the match in numbers
| Al Riyadh | Match statistics | Al-Qadsiah |
|---|---|---|
| 45% | Ball possession | 55% |
| 4.28 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.62 |
| 18 | Total shots | 27 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 14 |
| 1 | Big chances | 9 |
| 430 | Total passes | 551 |
| 86% | Pass accuracy | 91% |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 5 |
| 2 | Offsides | 5 |
| 8 | Tackles | 14 |
| 10 | Saves | 4 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Tijjani Reijnders (Al-Qadsiah), rated 10.0 by Sportmonks, with 3 goals, 1 assist.
Al Riyadh
- Bernard Mensah 7.7
- Milan Borjan 7.4
- Mahmoud Trezeguet 7.2
- Awad Dahal 6.7
- Kader Keita 6.7
Al-Qadsiah
- Tijjani Reijnders 10.0 3 goals, 1 assist
- Julián Quiñones 9.3 1 goal, 2 assists
- Musab Al-Juwayr 9.3 2 assists
- Koen Casteels 7.7
- Mahamadou Sangaré 7.5 1 goal
The lowest-rated starter was Fahad Al-Jayzani at 5.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Al Riyadh: Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh Thursday 26 November 2026 · Saudi Pro League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadsiah
What was the score in Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadsiah?
Al Riyadh 0-6 Al-Qadsiah (half-time 0-2), Saudi Pro League, Thursday 29 October 2026.
Who scored in Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadsiah?
Tijjani Reijnders 18', Abdullah Al-Salem 37', Tijjani Reijnders 56', Mahamadou Sangaré 67', Julián Quiñones 87', Tijjani Reijnders 89'.
Did Moneyball predict Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadsiah correctly?
The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made an Al-Qadsiah win the most likely outcome at 61%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 1-2 rather than 0-6.
Who was man of the match in Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadsiah?
Tijjani Reijnders, rated 10.0 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadsiah?
F. Alblwi.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.