Al Hilal 2-0 Al Fateh: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Al Hilal won it

The opening goal came in the 12th minute: Ollie Watkins for Al Hilal. Rúben Neves from the penalty spot made it 2-0 to Al Hilal in the 90th minute (+1).

It was 1-0 at half-time.

The referee, I. Barton, showed 4 yellow cards: 1 to Al Hilal and 3 to Al Fateh.

Al Hilal: S. Inzaghi, 4-3-3 · Al Fateh: J. Sellami, 5-4-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A correct call on the result: 87% for an Al Hilal win before the match. The scoreline, 2-0, was not the estimate's first choice (4-0).

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 4.4 and the match produced two.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 81%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 53%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-31, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.35 for Al Hilal and 3.98 for Al Fateh.

Al Hilal scored about 1.6 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Al Fateh left about 4.0 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Al Fateh created the better chances, 3.98 xG to 0.35, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Al Hilal to create more, and Al Fateh did.

Al Hilal had 6 shots on target, Al Fateh 0.

Al Hilal had 68% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Al Hilal came into it with 11 Saudi Pro League matches played, scoring 2.9 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 3.19 expected goals for and 0.96 against, and had won 91% of their matches.

Al Fateh came into it with 12 Saudi Pro League matches played, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.1 a match, with 1.13 expected goals for and 2.19 against, and had won 8% of their matches.

Al Hilal vs Al Fateh: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Theo Hernández (Al Hilal), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.

Al Hilal

• Theo Hernández 7.8
• Rúben Neves 7.8 1 goal
• Mohammed Mahzari 7.5
• Nasser Al-Dawsari 7.5
• Kalidou Koulibaly 7.2

Al Fateh

• Zaydou Youssouf 6.9
• Adrian Semper 6.8
• Wilfried Kanga 6.8
• Marwane Saadane 6.6
• Ali Al-Hassan 6.6

The lowest-rated starter was Abdulaziz Al-Suwailem at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Al Fateh: Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh Thursday 26 November 2026 · Saudi Pro League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Al Hilal vs Al Fateh

What was the score in Al Hilal vs Al Fateh?

Al Hilal 2-0 Al Fateh (half-time 1-0), Saudi Pro League, Saturday 31 October 2026.

Who scored in Al Hilal vs Al Fateh?

Ollie Watkins 12', Rúben Neves 90+1'.

Did Moneyball predict Al Hilal vs Al Fateh correctly?

A correct call on the result: 87% for an Al Hilal win before the match. The scoreline, 2-0, was not the estimate's first choice (4-0).

Who was man of the match in Al Hilal vs Al Fateh?

Theo Hernández, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Al Hilal vs Al Fateh?

I. Barton.