Academico Viseu 2-1 Rio Ave: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Academico Viseu won it

Rio Ave struck first through Miguel Almeida Patrício in the 38th minute, set up by João Tomé. Academico Viseu levelled at 1-1 in the 69th minute through Soufiane Messeguem, set up by André Clóvis. Academico Viseu turned it round: André Clóvis made it 2-1 in the 77th minute, set up by Alejandro Mestanza.

It was 0-1 at half-time, and the second half turned the match the other way.

The lead changed hands once.

Andreas Ntoi of Rio Ave was sent off in the 90th minute (+6). The referee, J. Ferreira Gonçalves, showed 3 yellow cards: 1 to Academico Viseu and 2 to Rio Ave.

Academico Viseu: B. Nogueira Pinheiro, 4-2-3-1 · Rio Ave: V. Freire De Seabra, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Over 2.50, was right: 2-1 bears it out.

The estimate's most likely result was an Academico Viseu win at 50%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.8 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 52%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 54%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had an Academico Viseu win at 47%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-01, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.07 for Academico Viseu and 0.90 for Rio Ave.

Academico Viseu had 5 shots on target, Rio Ave 5.

Rio Ave had 55% of the ball, but Academico Viseu took the points.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Academico Viseu came into it with 11 Liga Portugal matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.10 expected goals for and 1.78 against, and had won 55% of their matches.

Rio Ave came into it with 11 Liga Portugal matches played, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.2 a match, with 0.71 expected goals for and 1.77 against, and had won 18% of their matches.

Academico Viseu vs Rio Ave: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: André Clóvis (Academico Viseu), rated 7.9 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.

Academico Viseu

• André Clóvis 7.9 1 goal, 1 assist
• Robinho 7.8
• Alejandro Mestanza 7.3 1 assist
• Soufiane Messeguem 7.3 1 goal
• Luís Silva 7.0

Rio Ave

• Miguel Almeida Patrício 7.4 1 goal
• João Tomé 7.2 1 assist
• Diogo Nascimento 6.9
• Diogo Bezerra 6.9
• Sebastian Clemmensen 6.8

The lowest-rated starter was Gustavo Mancha at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

Questions about Academico Viseu vs Rio Ave

What was the score in Academico Viseu vs Rio Ave?

Academico Viseu 2-1 Rio Ave (half-time 0-1), Liga Portugal, Sunday 1 November 2026.

Who scored in Academico Viseu vs Rio Ave?

Miguel Almeida Patrício 38', Soufiane Messeguem 69', André Clóvis 77'.

Did Moneyball predict Academico Viseu vs Rio Ave correctly?

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Over 2.50, was right: 2-1 bears it out.

Who was man of the match in Academico Viseu vs Rio Ave?

André Clóvis, rated 7.9 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Academico Viseu vs Rio Ave?

J. Ferreira Gonçalves.